World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e6b476983620c65dcccb1db566906cc2d18609562e7e8d4b299fa23e2ecc72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39b1…28eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,788$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…0f77backed Yes | 36c | 1,748$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…ae73backed Yes | 36c | 1,738$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…cbcbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,654$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…c6b8backed No | 64c | 1,006$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…dfbcbacked No | 64c | 1,004$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…a694backed No | 64c | 994$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…d63fbacked No | 64c | 985$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b830backed No | 64c | 984$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…9167backed No | 64c | 980$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f8c9backed No | 64c | 975$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…a747backed Yes | 35c | 259.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 40c | 173.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 34c | 133.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 38c | 119.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 67.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…7cb0backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 39.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…fe6dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…e1a5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…445fbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be below 80%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 80% and 85%?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.