Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Deacoy (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f324e3a4cc4c0d0adf071ea9f9d27e4733b5d3bcec3b1e2000cb9299818a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colossal Gamingof Colossal Gaming, Deacoy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Deacoy | 15c | 37,963$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.41 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Deacoy | 10c | 2,912$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Deacoy | 13c | 2,416$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Deacoy | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Deacoy | 10c | 1,389$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Deacoy | 20c | 1,047$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Deacoy | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Deacoy | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Deacoy | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Deacoy | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Deacoy | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Deacoy | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Deacoy | 12c | 551$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Deacoy | 18c | 538.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Deacoy | 13c | 505$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Deacoy | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Deacoy | 17c | 446$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Deacoy | 23c | 433.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Deacoy | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…ebb7backed Deacoy | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Deacoy | 19c | 293.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Deacoy | 13c | 251.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colossal Gaming | 80c | 228.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Deacoy | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Deacoy | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…fa2ebacked Deacoy | 35c | 172.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Deacoy | 7c | 146.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Deacoy | 21c | 122.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Deacoy | 15c | 121.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…9121backed Deacoy | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Deacoy | 9c | 116.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Deacoy | 20c | 108.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Colossal Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Deacoy | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Deacoy | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Deacoy | 20c | 72.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Deacoy | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Deacoy | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Deacoy | 17c | 63.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…d039backed Deacoy | 25c | 52.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Deacoy | 23c | 48.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Deacoy (BO5) - LIT Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: CG (-2.5) vs Deacoy (+2.5)Deacoy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Deacoy - Game 1 WinnerDeacoy won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Deacoy - Game 2 WinnerColossal Gaming won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Deacoy - Game 3 WinnerColossal Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.