Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bucharest: Nada Fouad vs Alessia Marinescu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831f608346ff74ad39014206b8bb15450904e72f8f6b6d6f623a7761f15c9e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessia Marinescuof Nada Fouad, Alessia Marinescu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Nada Fouad | 15c | 2,019$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.06 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alessia Marinescu | 74c | 842.39$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Alessia Marinescu | 26c | 468.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Nada Fouad | 52c | 288.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nada Fouad | 76c | 220$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nada Fouad | 17c | 181$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…dd7dbacked Alessia Marinescu | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alessia Marinescu | 58c | 55.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Nada Fouad | 80c | 40.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nada Fouad | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alessia Marinescu | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…4424backed Nada Fouad | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Alessia Marinescu | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Nada Fouad | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.