Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83751e97fbed3eec145f3e4788cdf00b24b456aa531b8ecf16f56bad7ae77bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 3,333$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.55 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Sentinels | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.79 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cloud9 | 72c | 1,595$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.57 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sentinels | 28c | 520.07$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.45 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Cloud9 | 73c | 504.08$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Sentinels | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sentinels | 27c | 429.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sentinels | 28c | 272.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Sentinels | 29c | 264$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels | 6c | 232.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Sentinels | 16c | 216.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Cloud9 | 72c | 199.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Cloud9 | 74c | 193.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sentinels | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed Cloud9 | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Cloud9 | 73c | 131.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 25c | 118.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Sentinels | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Sentinels | 28c | 95.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 24c | 94.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked Sentinels | 29c | 84.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed Sentinels | 28c | 82.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Cloud9 | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Cloud9 | 80c | 62.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Cloud9 | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Cloud9 | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Cloud9 | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1this page
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.