Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Katherine Sebov vs Mary Stoiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83827b00569c68e3b29bb217c719bf946ab59925230db1321d0d2c1c605615fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stoianaof Sebov, Stoiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebov | 5c | 32,894$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sebov | 0c | 3,143$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sebov | 14c | 1,816$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebov | 11c | 1,401$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stoiana | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.03 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sebov | 30c | 1,249$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.02 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Stoiana | 65c | 923.18$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebov | 30c | 806.24$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Sebov | 11c | 789.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Stoiana | 75c | 407$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…971fbacked Stoiana | 76c | 405.05$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stoiana | 75c | 368$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Stoiana | 69c | 346.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stoiana | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebov | 16c | 230.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stoiana | 63c | 181.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Stoiana | 61c | 176.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Stoiana | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Stoiana | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Sebov | 31c | 150.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stoiana | 76c | 140.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sebov | 30c | 132.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sebov | 35c | 121.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Stoiana | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stoiana | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebov | 12c | 92.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sebov | 23c | 91.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sebov | 37c | 89.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sebov | 17c | 85.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Stoiana | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Sebov | 36c | 69.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebov | 35c | 67.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Sebov | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Stoiana | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sebov | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Stoiana | 66c | 26.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Stoiana | 65c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Stoiana | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.