CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cf8030553db4cf6f1d9a4cb2910b0b2e4fc6061a1dc3ec75e40dd67250bc96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof G2 Ares, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 7c | 423.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 322.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 12c | 295.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 16c | 242.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed G2 Ares | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 6c | 198$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Academy | 73c | 180.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed G2 Ares | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 152.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed G2 Ares | 18c | 139.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Inner Circle Academy | 58c | 109.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 20c | 102.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 18c | 81.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Inner Circle Academy | 80c | 65.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed G2 Ares | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed G2 Ares | 63c | 18.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.