Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Rositsa Dencheva vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d84bb8aaa95d508b852cb3a92a5755aea0d1a7dbdf7d0f8e57a70371e487a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Risticof Rositsa Dencheva, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rositsa Dencheva | 50c | 782.74$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Mia Ristic | 66c | 420.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mia Ristic | 51c | 400.69$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Mia Ristic | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 195.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Mia Ristic | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rositsa Dencheva | 35c | 102.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rositsa Dencheva | 25c | 92.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 87.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 77.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 23c | 62.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Mia Ristic | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Rositsa Dencheva | 32c | 54.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mia Ristic | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rositsa Dencheva | 49c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…cd2fbacked Mia Ristic | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.