Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Vlad Cristian Breazu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8413e5a94843c18b7001dfe381d8613101ea7e1a53305de6d9463548f01cd5eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragos Nicolae Madarasof Dragos Nicolae Madaras, Vlad Cristian Breazu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 13c | 1,666$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 61c | 794.07$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.17 | 287 | 53%152 W · 135 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 39c | 672.06$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 58c | 642.53$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.63 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 35c | 499.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Vlad Cristian Breazu | 36c | 448.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 79c | 408.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…7e46backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 65c | 398.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…9c22backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 53c | 377.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 39c | 310.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vlad Cristian Breazu | 50c | 291.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 61c | 268.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 54c | 169.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 66c | 158.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Vlad Cristian Breazu | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 69c | 134.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 67c | 131$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 66c | 126.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 31.1%76 W · 168 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vlad Cristian Breazu | 37c | 94.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 65c | 92.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 455 | 49.7%226 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 66c | 60.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 38c | 45.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 42c | 40.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 178 | 60.7%108 W · 70 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Vlad Cristian Breazu | 34c | 39.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c148backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 62c | 23.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.