Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84364834ded07234ffda054d6bc8ce5bca7ff77d906f280ef03309052e5bca80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 72c | 410.37$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 7c | 378.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 299.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 57c | 278.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 225.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 205.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 27c | 196.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 164.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 133.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 8c | 130.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Yes | 28c | 108.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 103.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 97.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 91.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Yes | 32c | 83.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 18c | 76.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 51c | 72.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 34c | 67.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 62.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 33.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…75c6backed No | 59c | 19.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.