Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Chicago State Cougars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84365847dc3023fbf508084a445b8a28d89e073b8a06217d79fb4f84329124d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Chicago State Cougars, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 788.22$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 555.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 353$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 312.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 91.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 46.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Chicago State Cougars | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…6082backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…9608backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago State Cougars (-2.5)this page
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State CougarsChicago State Cougars won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.