CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846599842576d4bf7bcf490c2795d50977121a0bc8418d53b080bd9acb3bb878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked magic | 46c | 3,167$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed WHITEBIRD | 70c | 1,431$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed WHITEBIRD | 51c | 1,286$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.11 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed WHITEBIRD | 42c | 1,135$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WHITEBIRD | 41c | 876.2$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WHITEBIRD | 32c | 696.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked magic | 39c | 359.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed WHITEBIRD | 42c | 329.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked WHITEBIRD | 56c | 155.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 35c | 152.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed magic | 38c | 150.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked magic | 71c | 144.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…37abbacked WHITEBIRD | 33c | 95.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed WHITEBIRD | 42c | 62.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked magic | 79c | 57.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed magic | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD | 62c | 50.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked magic | 80c | 50.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WHITEBIRD | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked WHITEBIRD | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…18dabacked magic | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked magic | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed magic | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed magic | 74c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked magic | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…df1bbacked magic | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 PlayoffsWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.