Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846b8eaa707bd1eb06a9eb53487ea9a817902389a604e063bb33e3bdccdf8b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,852$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.92 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 48c | 2,215$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,637$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…3d5ebacked Under | 50c | 1,429$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.92 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 881.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 876.28$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.85 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 454.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 290$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 54c | 259.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 249.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 189.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ae96backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 158$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…fc14backed Under | 49c | 146.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 145.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…3cddbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 54c | 112.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 112.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 99.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 47c | 93.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 61c | 89.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 89.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…ee66backed Over | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…fe2ebacked Over | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…c01bbacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 46c | 57.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…59c5backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…a64dbacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 47.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 61c | 43.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 43c | 35.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 34.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0017…6094backed Under | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…59aebacked Over | 51c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…263cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…c23fbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 53c | 29.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…08adbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…2412backed Over | 54c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…b1a2backed Over | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…f22fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.