Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8048d5e2f7336ebd066453a7687fc411fc07364f16423cc129a943f638a2a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,362 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,127$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 781.67$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 598.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 21c | 574.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 569.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 63c | 274.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 76c | 221.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 35c | 156.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 124.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 121.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 88.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 77c | 70.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…d4debacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.