Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97fda0a07ebb866fc8e062349572514585e8cc8f839f2325bdba595746e0852c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,054 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,667$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 57c | 446.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 12c | 434.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 369.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 210.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 42c | 109.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…7447backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 73.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 60.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 42c | 29.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 58c | 23.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 54c | 22.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.