CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8490b92eddba692d8d0983527ffb457741d8981b375861ee992f1ac1ed21b8ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Omega, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Omega | 20c | 2,507$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 21c | 1,910$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…cca2backed Omega | 21c | 923.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…25c8backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 900$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…48ffbacked Omega | 8c | 762$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb164…a496backed Omega | 13c | 650$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…d06bbacked Omega | 6c | 619$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Omega | 8c | 587$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…2210backed Omega | 8c | 545$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…f6d3backed Omega | 13c | 535$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed Omega | 8c | 527$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Omega | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed Omega | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e685backed Omega | 8c | 388$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Omega | 16c | 368.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Omega | 5c | 358$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 356.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…012bbacked Omega | 4c | 349$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 8c | 313$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…9200backed Omega | 8c | 309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +372.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…4d80backed Omega | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…99c8backed Omega | 8c | 248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…a44cbacked Omega | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 198.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Omega | 20c | 196.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed Omega | 8c | 188$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…437bbacked Omega | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 17c | 163$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…c907backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Omega | 22c | 102.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Omega | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omega | 21c | 96.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Omega | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 11c | 89.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4413…0f9bbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Omega | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Omega | 20c | 78.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Omega | 20c | 71.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Omega | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 59.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…8b6fbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.