Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855aac3623bffeb6e7df0d709ac2758105178f9711099e1b72cbcec44c068d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vålerenga Fotballof Vålerenga Fotball, Kristiansund BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Vålerenga Fotball | 48c | 1,213$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.76 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kristiansund BK | 52c | 1,206$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.07 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kristiansund BK | 63c | 726.58$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Vålerenga Fotball | 44c | 631.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kristiansund BK | 63c | 528$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vålerenga Fotball | 45c | 446.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristiansund BK | 44c | 436.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 435$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 329.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 283.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kristiansund BK | 63c | 277.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kristiansund BK | 63c | 277.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kristiansund BK | 63c | 197.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 197$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kristiansund BK | 63c | 167.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Vålerenga Fotball | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 84.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Vålerenga Fotball | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Vålerenga Fotball | 37c | 63.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Kristiansund BK | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristiansund BK | 65c | 49.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Vålerenga Fotball | 42c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Vålerenga Fotball | 35c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Kristiansund BK | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Kristiansund BK | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…961cbacked Vålerenga Fotball | 64c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kristiansund BK | 44c | 30.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Vålerenga Fotball | 38c | 27.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kristiansund BK | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Kristiansund BK | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.