Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7967e6d5dbbdaefc65eb8d18dfaa691217ce2c760355032596079c2ca02b2444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 2,606$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.86 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 1,313$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,250$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 1,213$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.11 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 977.38$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 41c | 510.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.21 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 505.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 490$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 42c | 300.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 39c | 299.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 173.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 130.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 92.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 86.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 79.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 26c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 60.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 58c | 49.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 60c | 34.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 31.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 57c | 29.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 43c | 29.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 24.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 20.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 18.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 12.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.