Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857845b8de425a8983d9a8e76ab7d9653036a945fe21ddec5b529ea2127de3ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82b1…d418backed Shelton | 53c | 3,669$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zhang | 46c | 2,444$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.38 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zhang | 50c | 1,154$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.24 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Zhang | 54c | 899.03$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shelton | 50c | 495.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Shelton | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Shelton | 46c | 391.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zhang | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Shelton | 50c | 234.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Shelton | 51c | 210.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zhang | 49c | 186.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Zhang | 56c | 174.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shelton | 47c | 155.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shelton | 46c | 148.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zhang | 49c | 132.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Zhang | 55c | 50.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Shelton | 51c | 45.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Zhang | 51c | 44.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Zhang | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…bd20backed Shelton | 49c | 29.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Shelton | 49c | 28.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)this page
- Ben Shelton vs. Zhizhen Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Shelton vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen ZhangBen Shelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.