CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859c0ca6faaff8c67858533768e3052cadb9512387d9ae0b5c8f40deac266eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed TNC | 53c | 1,432$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Misa Esports | 47c | 791.49$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 14c | 598.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 10c | 555.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 34c | 355.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Misa Esports | 53c | 285$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked Misa Esports | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed TNC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed TNC | 50c | 173.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed TNC | 55c | 157.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed TNC | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Misa Esports | 51c | 118.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked TNC | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed TNC | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Misa Esports | 17c | 71.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 46.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Misa Esports | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…d1b7backed TNC | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Misa Esports | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked TNC | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.