Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a173a41e7914337b8fa79448ccfb0a39e99edcb0293971a08dd98f79d4e108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Oleksii Krutykh, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oleksii Krutykh | 13c | 11,654$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matias Soto | 41c | 1,800$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Matias Soto | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Oleksii Krutykh | 32c | 965$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oleksii Krutykh | 61c | 748.67$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Matias Soto | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Oleksii Krutykh | 63c | 431.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Oleksii Krutykh | 46c | 399.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Oleksii Krutykh | 41c | 379.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto | 71c | 377.51$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Oleksii Krutykh | 52c | 371.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matias Soto | 66c | 354.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Matias Soto | 71c | 329.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto | 74c | 263.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Oleksii Krutykh | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 8c | 206.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 56c | 191.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oleksii Krutykh | 35c | 166.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Oleksii Krutykh | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Matias Soto | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Matias Soto | 35c | 99.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Matias Soto | 65c | 79.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Oleksii Krutykh | 65c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matias Soto | 53c | 70.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Oleksii Krutykh | 31c | 70.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oleksii Krutykh | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…5c15backed Oleksii Krutykh | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Oleksii Krutykh | 29c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Oleksii Krutykh | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matias Soto | 33c | 48.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Oleksii Krutykh | 67c | 37.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Matias Soto | 73c | 36.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…9ec8backed Matias Soto | 57c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Oleksii Krutykh | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Oleksii Krutykh | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Oleksii Krutykh | 64c | 23.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 21.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 58c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Oleksii Krutykh | 67c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Matias Soto | 63c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.