Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs Wolves Esports (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b061dd8296f84ce1d4ae6d5c20ff67d909d616ec5f3de406aab592a7ee6281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof All Gamers, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9506…6182backed All Gamers | 49c | 204.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 198.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Wolves Esports | 49c | 196.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 170.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 71.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed All Gamers | 53c | 64.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked All Gamers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked All Gamers | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs Wolves Esports (+3.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs Wolves Esports (+3.5)All Gamers won
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.