Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0614788b9102b275ddd661257a5f8c53d41fcaed5d9b0943fc651b8af1010f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Wolves Esports | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.1 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked All Gamers | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Wolves Esports | 57c | 841.71$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Wolves Esports | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed All Gamers | 49c | 611.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.36 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed All Gamers | 48c | 574.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.94 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed All Gamers | 49c | 495.71$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.81 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed All Gamers | 47c | 410$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed All Gamers | 69c | 409.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed All Gamers | 49c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked All Gamers | 43c | 247.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers | 48c | 210.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 208.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 206.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports | 20c | 201.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked All Gamers | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked All Gamers | 43c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed All Gamers | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 162$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed All Gamers | 48c | 148$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 134.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked All Gamers | 41c | 121.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed All Gamers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Wolves Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed All Gamers | 45c | 86.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 86.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Wolves Esports | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked All Gamers | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 64.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Wolves Esports | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed All Gamers | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 46.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked All Gamers | 47c | 44.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked All Gamers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed All Gamers | 58c | 37.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Wolves Esports | 56c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed All Gamers | 44c | 36.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked All Gamers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…3024backed All Gamers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed All Gamers | 48c | 29.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked All Gamers | 48c | 26.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked All Gamers | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…e226backed All Gamers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…1d84backed Wolves Esports | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs Wolves Esports (+3.5)Wolves Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs Wolves Esports (+3.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.