Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b6c198d46f1fe498e2fed32938e281b62807b1a0177b04bd84782369baadac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof GIANTX GC, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked GIANTX GC | 40c | 664$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Habos Babos | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Habos Babos | 59c | 242.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed GIANTX GC | 42c | 200.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed GIANTX GC | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX GC | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked GIANTX GC | 40c | 126.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed Habos Babos | 59c | 101.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Habos Babos | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GIANTX GC | 38c | 88.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GIANTX GC | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Habos Babos | 60c | 78.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habos Babos | 60c | 72.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 56c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Habos Babos | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…0197backed Habos Babos | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Habos Babos | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked GIANTX GC | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Habos Babos | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed Habos Babos | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Habos Babos | 62c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed GIANTX GC | 40c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Habos Babos | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Habos Babos | 49c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Habos Babos | 60c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Habos Babos - Map 2 WinnerHabos Babos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.