Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85d191089b1d24d87107f489e4c43d629e4f7cfac079bc9ef7abbaf963db4ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 26c | 1,417$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.47 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Over | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Over | 71c | 121.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Over | 74c | 119.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Over | 74c | 119.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…0501backed Over | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 27c | 90.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 26c | 56.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Under | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 28c | 46.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 57c | 39.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Over | 73c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)DRX Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsDRX Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 WinnerDRX Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 WinnerDRX Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.