Lol · resolved market
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd56c0d804ae2a3d0c8e7a11902f0e9f9f0046d8823d95d0cf6af42975088d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof DN SOOPers Challengers, DRX Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4421…80d2backed DRX Challengers | 1c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DRX Challengers | 1c | 3,079$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed DRX Challengers | 42c | 1,239$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 1,189$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.3 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed DRX Challengers | 41c | 980$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked DRX Challengers | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked DRX Challengers | 40c | 743.79$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 680$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed DRX Challengers | 8c | 380.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX Challengers | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed DRX Challengers | 36c | 279$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 78c | 261.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed DRX Challengers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked DRX Challengers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…3421backed DRX Challengers | 4c | 238.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 63c | 220.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 206.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed DRX Challengers | 8c | 198.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed DRX Challengers | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed DRX Challengers | 39c | 172.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX Challengers | 15c | 145.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked DRX Challengers | 9c | 141.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX Challengers | 41c | 134.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…8797backed DRX Challengers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 85.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DRX Challengers | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 70c | 59.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked DRX Challengers | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed DRX Challengers | 45c | 36.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 63c | 21.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)DRX Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsDRX Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 WinnerDRX Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 WinnerDRX Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.