CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e136e85c41919790b6de1ecf2963faf3b4568520e29df3abc6a46c2acbd0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1WIN | 51c | 1,209$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.15 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 408$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 21c | 345$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed 1WIN | 55c | 335$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 1WIN | 35c | 310.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 294.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked 1WIN | 55c | 269.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked 1WIN | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 249.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 28c | 195.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 174.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 174.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed 1WIN | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed 1WIN | 23c | 88.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 35c | 78.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 44c | 70.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Johnny Speeds | 71c | 62.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…a732backed 1WIN | 56c | 40.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed 1WIN | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.