CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598b6611002ff121bf0f408b8515abe6e3e8ff4c067dbc39556081ecfdeee9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 1,376$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed 1WIN | 1c | 1,266$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 68c | 457.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN | 38c | 325$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed 1WIN | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1WIN | 51c | 281$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 58c | 252.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 232.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 177.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 147$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 46c | 144.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed 1WIN | 37c | 129.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 115.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 63c | 103.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 102.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 56c | 85.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked 1WIN | 49c | 84.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 50c | 71.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8cb6backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed 1WIN | 79c | 62.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Johnny Speeds | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 56c | 58.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 32c | 53.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 1WIN | 54c | 52.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked 1WIN | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed 1WIN | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed 1WIN | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…42c4backed 1WIN | 23c | 43.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…acccbacked 1WIN | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed 1WIN | 52c | 27.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked 1WIN | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faf…54d2backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1WIN | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.