TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5509…accc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.56
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.8
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$45.08
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.