Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f6692bd1b5a574cc6215f0dae33d31ed4c6b0a13afc2aa498d9cc73f400e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 9,766$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 4,516$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 1,447$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 812.33$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 720.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 459.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 49c | 453.15$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.84 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 49c | 450.12$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 49c | 445.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 47c | 420.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 47c | 414.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 47c | 414.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 47c | 414.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 47c | 414.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 10c | 330.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Yes | 29c | 283.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 282.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 47c | 237.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 47c | 237.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 207.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 51c | 160.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 7c | 155.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 21c | 116.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 108.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed No | 71c | 83.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 51c | 78.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 26c | 71.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 68.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Yes | 61c | 65.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 65c | 65.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 51c | 55.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 52.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…30debacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 60c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 48c | 46.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 71c | 44.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed Yes | 29c | 41.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 48c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…2dabbacked Yes | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 62c | 28.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed No | 46c | 23.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed No | 70c | 23.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 80cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 20.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 63c | 20.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…8b87backed No | 80c | 14.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…e87abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.