Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafae4777fe1016fc278653d4fa64365f3db0482b16ea7ecbfc7e62b3e051177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 5,296$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 3,993$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 2,189$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 1,204$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,036$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 1c | 875.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 5c | 427.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 375.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 247.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 240.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 11c | 237.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Yes | 10c | 209.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 10c | 183.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 12c | 156.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 128.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…0cf7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Yes | 12c | 87.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 14c | 72.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 14c | 72.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 14c | 72.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…fbf5backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.