Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86060574ac07a6dfc863c1cbb93dd6a679e28e5210ea89646143938db1f77785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Cobra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Cobra | 8c | 2,575$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Cobra | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION | 74c | 878.79$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.87 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION | 54c | 713.26$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 394.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Cobra | 12c | 216$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Cobra | 10c | 170$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Cobra | 42c | 124.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Cobra | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Cobra | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed PARIVISION | 53c | 74.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Cobra | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Cobra | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Cobra | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…037abacked Team Cobra | 48c | 30.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked PARIVISION | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Cobra (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.