CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860bee004ec14c7e091c981ab587f41f1fed4006cd81b4c6adaeb758aefb9eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaming By Legendsof Gaming By Legends, Saab
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Saab | 21c | 1,205$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Saab | 22c | 770.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Gaming By Legends | 75c | 602.34$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Saab | 12c | 513.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Saab | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Saab | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Gaming By Legends | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Saab | 17c | 235.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Saab | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Gaming By Legends | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Saab | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Saab | 33c | 126.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Saab | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Saab | 11c | 105.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Saab | 10c | 103.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Gaming By Legends | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gaming By Legends | 72c | 59.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Saab | 20c | 51.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Gaming By Legends | 62c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Gaming By Legends | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Gaming By Legends | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…b608backed Gaming By Legends | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.