Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Thiago Cigarran vs Gonzalo Villanueva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8654c86ac55abf2dc4293f7be428b6db330c581c37b2222d7c2b1abacbe42acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Villanuevaof Thiago Cigarran, Gonzalo Villanueva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Thiago Cigarran | 12c | 6,421$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Thiago Cigarran | 13c | 5,763$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 80c | 4,438$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.15 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Cigarran | 10c | 3,116$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Thiago Cigarran | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thiago Cigarran | 8c | 1,972$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 779.01$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Thiago Cigarran | 21c | 772$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Thiago Cigarran | 7c | 598$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Thiago Cigarran | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Thiago Cigarran | 22c | 497.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Thiago Cigarran | 9c | 455.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Thiago Cigarran | 10c | 412.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thiago Cigarran | 22c | 412.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thiago Cigarran | 18c | 409.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thiago Cigarran | 3c | 409.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 382.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 369$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Thiago Cigarran | 9c | 335.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 73c | 311.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Thiago Cigarran | 13c | 289.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Thiago Cigarran | 22c | 235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thiago Cigarran | 8c | 233.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thiago Cigarran | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Thiago Cigarran | 25c | 197.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thiago Cigarran | 25c | 168.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Thiago Cigarran | 15c | 166.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Thiago Cigarran | 14c | 165.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 128.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Thiago Cigarran | 23c | 124.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 72c | 120.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 111.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 72.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 78c | 64.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thiago Cigarran | 16c | 62.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 52c | 43.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 73c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 52c | 36.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f937backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 52c | 32.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed Thiago Cigarran | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…4de6backed Thiago Cigarran | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 79c | 15.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.