Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865adb90f63cb58efcd6397b10ad3b585d5df76b363c092394ac85a5440caf95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof Once Upon A Team, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Once Upon A Team | 28c | 408.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +29.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Once Upon A Team | 5c | 332.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 405 | 40%162 W · 243 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Once Upon A Team | 4c | 331.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Senshi Esports Club | 70c | 320.82$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 237.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Senshi Esports Club | 72c | 224.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Once Upon A Team | 30c | 159.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 248 | 67.3%167 W · 81 L | +35.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Once Upon A Team | 15c | 146.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,940 | 37.1%720 W · 1,220 L | -117.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Once Upon A Team | 49c | 140.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 294 | 46.9%138 W · 156 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Once Upon A Team | 28c | 102.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 439 | 50.3%221 W · 218 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Senshi Esports Club | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 2,005 | 48.3%969 W · 1,036 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed Once Upon A Team | 28c | 90.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…7a22backed Once Upon A Team | 29c | 88.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 72c | 62.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Once Upon A Team | 28c | 56.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 386 | 56.7%219 W · 167 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Once Upon A Team | 23c | 52.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,150 | 30.9%355 W · 795 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Senshi Esports Club | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,239 | 57.9%717 W · 522 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Senshi Esports Club | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed Once Upon A Team | 31c | 32.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 73c | 28.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 272 | 41.2%112 W · 160 L | -27.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Senshi Esports Club | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Senshi Esports Club | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,388 | 41%978 W · 1,410 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonSenshi Esports Club won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerSenshi Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.