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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senshi Esports Clubof Once Upon A Team, Senshi Esports Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e30…c14dbacked Once Upon A Team26c1,061$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0810944%48 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Senshi Esports Club78c381.32$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.655764.9%37 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Once Upon A Team8c313.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9273059.7%436 W · 294 L+79.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Senshi Esports Club76c254.1$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9867459.8%403 W · 271 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Senshi Esports Club74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Once Upon A Team17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.827241.2%112 W · 160 L-27.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Senshi Esports Club75c196.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9423234.9%81 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Once Upon A Team24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582833.1%274 W · 554 L-42.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Once Upon A Team15c140.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Senshi Esports Club76c123.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641,66643.9%732 W · 934 L-76.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9527…888bbacked Once Upon A Team18c118.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2460%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Senshi Esports Club73c103.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5941651.4%214 W · 202 L+1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Once Upon A Team12c99.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.748751.5%251 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Senshi Esports Club72c93.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,39849.4%691 W · 707 L-20.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Senshi Esports Club76c77.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6928556.5%161 W · 124 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d4…8254backed Once Upon A Team14c76.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Once Upon A Team24c67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0859134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Once Upon A Team23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.733246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Senshi Esports Club72c41.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5726243.1%113 W · 149 L-22.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Senshi Esports Club75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612138%46 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senshi Esports Club73c18.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0411646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.