South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8661dc0e8505a0389fb68fbe9abb8e087191a619bbdb424762517e16e332b65d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,778 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,921$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…6579backed Over | 31c | 3,706$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 858.26$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 68c | 836.18$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 522.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 62c | 482.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…4afabacked Over | 37c | 433.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 226.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 216.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 27c | 151.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 38c | 80.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 66.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 36c | 36.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)Racing Club de Montevideo won
- Spread: CA Boston River (-2.5)Racing Club de Montevideo won
- Spread: Racing Club de Montevideo (-1.5)CA Boston River won
- Spread: Racing Club de Montevideo (-2.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.