Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868b4f6217692de7d06064aef54622a6d741a513c89ad2af725629717a576d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Team Liquid | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Cloud9 | 68c | 2,001$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.9 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Cloud9 | 68c | 1,348$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.74 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cloud9 | 67c | 559.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Cloud9 | 68c | 525$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 31c | 480.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Team Liquid | 33c | 439.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.39 | 533 | 52.5%280 W · 253 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cloud9 | 46c | 300.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 276.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 1,194 | 65.9%787 W · 407 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Cloud9 | 72c | 231.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Liquid | 28c | 220.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Cloud9 | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 42c | 199.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Cloud9 | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Team Liquid | 39c | 64.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Team Liquid | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cloud9 | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cloud9 | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…f929backed Team Liquid | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed Cloud9 | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.