CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a0d98a8fbbf7b163497832bfb4f8f7156c23e816c35d6b201a0e2d249d1fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked INOX Division | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed INOX Division | 55c | 1,444$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.79 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 45c | 1,102$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Just Players | 50c | 999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +16.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked INOX Division | 71c | 699.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed INOX Division | 54c | 632.84$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 452 | 55.8%252 W · 200 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 17c | 624.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…4b22backed Just Players | 46c | 435.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Just Players | 50c | 416.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed INOX Division | 66c | 405$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 405 | 57.3%232 W · 173 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Just Players | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 368 | 48.9%180 W · 188 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 34c | 381.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 43c | 289$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed Just Players | 50c | 252$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Just Players | 50c | 244.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 328 | 40.9%134 W · 194 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 22c | 226.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Just Players | 28c | 208.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 45c | 182$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 29c | 131.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Just Players | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Just Players | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Players | 27c | 95.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Just Players | 52c | 92.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Just Players | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 32c | 85.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked INOX Division | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Just Players | 28c | 79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed INOX Division | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e8…67e9backed INOX Division | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 34c | 59.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Just Players | 37c | 58.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Just Players | 24c | 45.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Just Players | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Just Players | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Just Players | 28c | 39.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Just Players | 40c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked INOX Division | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed INOX Division | 60c | 30.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed INOX Division | 63c | 29.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INOX Division | 70c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked INOX Division | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed INOX Division | 70c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 74 | 83.8%62 W · 12 L | +12.5wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed INOX Division | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed INOX Division | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked INOX Division | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.