Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c332ef7f694618f6cd4db511b1f239404c64486117f993e1ff812c55c4e70e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Marymount Lionsof San Diego Toreros, Loyola Marymount Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 3,408$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Toreros | 30c | 2,653$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 71c | 1,774$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Toreros | 30c | 1,475$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Toreros | 29c | 1,368$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 1,272$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.65 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 24c | 622.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 616.51$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed San Diego Toreros | 31c | 409.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed San Diego Toreros | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Diego Toreros | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 30c | 168.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked San Diego Toreros | 33c | 151.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 72.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed San Diego Toreros | 32c | 61.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked San Diego Toreros | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego Toreros | 33c | 60.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 71c | 56.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-5.5)Loyola Marymount Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.