Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870853cc5f2e38e8c7890250afb20898c70dcaf8ca7983b5ad8a2e35a23662ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brøndby IFof FC København, Brøndby IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked FC København | 23c | 1,767$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed FC København | 22c | 1,101$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brøndby IF | 77c | 817.15$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Brøndby IF | 79c | 534$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed FC København | 8c | 432$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC København | 19c | 349.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brøndby IF | 78c | 210.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brøndby IF | 77c | 179$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Brøndby IF | 76c | 137.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Brøndby IF | 76c | 103.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Brøndby IF | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Brøndby IF | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Brøndby IF | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Brøndby IF | 80c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.