Other European Leagues · resolved market
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c27c99c7315282509e84f3435713bc775647b483773cfdf6e66d5535202ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 17c | 5,800$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 14c | 865.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 3c | 800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 14c | 622.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 615.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 14c | 500.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 14c | 475.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 13c | 299.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 14c | 176.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 14c | 163.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…d973backed Over | 15c | 149.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 14c | 143.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 14c | 138.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 15c | 69.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5this page
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.