Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8727a9ccede58cf462dafda96f66d982c888045d5b0048ea39c76971ba181ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yamalapalliof Yamalapalli, Nugroho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Nugroho | 71c | 2,787$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Nugroho | 20c | 2,761$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yamalapalli | 73c | 1,192$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yamalapalli | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yamalapalli | 6c | 876.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…b043backed Yamalapalli | 42c | 471.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b8…5205backed Nugroho | 62c | 311.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Nugroho | 25c | 301.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yamalapalli | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nugroho | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yamalapalli | 56c | 178.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…ff39backed Nugroho | 61c | 164.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yamalapalli | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Yamalapalli | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Nugroho | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Yamalapalli | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Nugroho | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nugroho | 22c | 88.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Yamalapalli | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yamalapalli | 48c | 83.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Yamalapalli | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Nugroho | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…17cfbacked Nugroho | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Yamalapalli | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yamalapalli | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Nugroho | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nugroho | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Nugroho | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yamalapalli | 78c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.