CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872fc3d6b2f6752f42b3078a89963f2c43e00fe914c753cd30602772f76ecc17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tricked | 80c | 1,509$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 504.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Tricked | 62c | 467.23$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 435.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 7c | 313.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 299.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked MOUZ NXT | 13c | 237.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Tricked | 61c | 162.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 124.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 78.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 77.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 62c | 76.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Tricked | 65c | 74.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 63.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 31.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Tricked | 61c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Tricked | 64c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 28.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…50dabacked Tricked | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Tricked | 62c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.