Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87460eac490c4c873af3c6e9638e5878b5e5451679b89b1765f1a11361a406f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 8,059$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.41 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,960$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 49c | 3,582$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 52c | 1,796$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 848.49$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.28 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 834.63$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 821.22$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 52c | 575.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.2 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 179.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 47.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 47.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 39.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 53c | 39.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.