Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Donna Vekic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877be5c2f29d94bfce38a30151be3b69018b3ff8e2f29a75f6e047718838048a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lulu Sunof Lulu Sun, Donna Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Donna Vekic | 40c | 2,203$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Donna Vekic | 27c | 1,709$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…614fbacked Donna Vekic | 53c | 1,319$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lulu Sun | 77c | 911$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Donna Vekic | 60c | 834.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Donna Vekic | 27c | 739.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Lulu Sun | 66c | 702.79$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lulu Sun | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lulu Sun | 41c | 558.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Lulu Sun | 65c | 478.01$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lulu Sun | 78c | 437$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lulu Sun | 75c | 432.98$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lulu Sun | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Donna Vekic | 55c | 340.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Donna Vekic | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Donna Vekic | 57c | 262.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lulu Sun | 42c | 253.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Donna Vekic | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lulu Sun | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lulu Sun | 71c | 246$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Lulu Sun | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Donna Vekic | 35c | 205.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lulu Sun | 43c | 173.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lulu Sun | 59c | 165.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Donna Vekic | 61c | 164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Lulu Sun | 40c | 163.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lulu Sun | 77c | 126.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Donna Vekic | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lulu Sun | 42c | 110.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Donna Vekic | 57c | 110.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Donna Vekic | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Donna Vekic | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Donna Vekic | 38c | 98.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donna Vekic | 31c | 98.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Lulu Sun | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lulu Sun | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Donna Vekic | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…e585backed Lulu Sun | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donna Vekic | 27c | 72.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Lulu Sun | 39c | 70.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lulu Sun | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Donna Vekic | 46c | 65.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Donna Vekic | 40c | 62.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Donna Vekic | 28c | 58.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Donna Vekic | 57c | 56.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Donna Vekic | 25c | 56.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Donna Vekic | 38c | 55.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lulu Sun | 70c | 50.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lulu Sun | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Lulu Sun | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Donna Vekic | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lulu Sun | 74c | 39.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…7b99backed Lulu Sun | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lulu Sun | 43c | 35.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lulu Sun | 43c | 33.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Donna Vekic | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lulu Sun | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Lulu Sun | 39c | 27.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Donna Vekic | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Lulu Sun | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lulu Sun | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Donna Vekicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sun vs VekicSun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.