Tennis · resolved market
Almaty Open: Tristan Schoolkate vs Adam Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x878a20fa1d0e7ec4a690bf19f0861b0641b509b7e930ec04c1d2d051b8b63cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Waltonof Schoolkate, Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Schoolkate | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.98 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Walton | 51c | 1,663$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Walton | 46c | 540.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Schoolkate | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Schoolkate | 58c | 391$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Walton | 65c | 345.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Walton | 52c | 290.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Walton | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Schoolkate | 25c | 189.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Schoolkate | 48c | 160.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Schoolkate | 41c | 143.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Schoolkate | 32c | 128.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Schoolkate | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Schoolkate | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Walton | 61c | 91.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Walton | 52c | 79.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Schoolkate | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Walton | 71c | 55.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Walton | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Walton | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Schoolkate | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Schoolkate | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Walton | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Walton | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.