Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87907fc413bd6c45a0c58ef0e267a90ff5836a5a1cda76cf430e88317d34483f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,123$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 2,292$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.3 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 1,708$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.77 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,221$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.51 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,192$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.11 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 44c | 1,131$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.49 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 2c | 1,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 1,063$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.27 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 55c | 614$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 441.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 45c | 343.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 55c | 197.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 46c | 191$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 46c | 186$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Over | 52c | 68.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 45c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.