South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8792e87c285467b583beb850aa0500301f437f56287768197016341d1769b4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 3,723$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.25 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 3,081$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.95 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 44c | 995.55$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 47c | 900$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 886.51$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 777.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 67c | 743$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 248 | 33.1%82 W · 166 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 723.01$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 1,257 | 53.6%674 W · 583 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 480.46$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 18c | 475.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 291 | 40.2%117 W · 174 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 74c | 222.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 189.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 960 | 55.7%535 W · 425 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 150.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 35c | 136.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 134.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 389 | 39.6%154 W · 235 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 123.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 45c | 108.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 36c | 101.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 59c | 88.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 72.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 21c | 68.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 25c | 66.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 50.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 450 | 46.2%208 W · 242 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 64c | 38.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 38c | 37.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 47c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 31.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 30.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 46c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…e1c8backed Yes | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 21.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.