Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Ninetails vs Nova Esports GC (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879a8674aea0fef1f9d60e817f42c0d88b154d6fdde92c20c4180804d1fd3e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esports GCof Ninetails, Nova Esports GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ninetails | 1c | 2,145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Ninetails | 3c | 1,907$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Ninetails | 62c | 1,775$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Ninetails | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nova Esports GC | 31c | 1,168$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.01 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Ninetails | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nova Esports GC | 29c | 520$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Nova Esports GC | 79c | 476.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ninetails | 26c | 276.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nova Esports GC | 29c | 218.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Ninetails | 70c | 191.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Nova Esports GC | 71c | 164.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Nova Esports GC | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nova Esports GC | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de4…ca53backed Nova Esports GC | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…a34dbacked Ninetails | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Ninetails | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Ninetails | 51c | 66.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Nova Esports GC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ninetails | 29c | 63.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…ab3bbacked Ninetails | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…1803backed Nova Esports GC | 72c | 44.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b1b4backed Ninetails | 52c | 34.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…0dd1backed Nova Esports GC | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Nova Esports GC | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Ninetails | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Nova Esports GC (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Nova Esports GC - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports GC won
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Nova Esports GC - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.