CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ad8aaf61b7b45086630ee6d98aa11837f024066f2fa93e228f7ee2f808d5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 779.08$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Game Hunters | 30c | 450.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Game Hunters | 23c | 337$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 257.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Yawara Esports | 76c | 251.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Game Hunters | 28c | 232.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 192.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Hunters | 33c | 189.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Game Hunters | 24c | 152.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Game Hunters | 18c | 124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports | 75c | 112.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Yawara Esports | 76c | 99.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Game Hunters | 21c | 89.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 66c | 73.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 33c | 65.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yawara Esports | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Game Hunters | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yawara Esports | 66c | 45.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 23.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group BYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.